Expert Picks: Who Will Win Kentucky Derby


Horses for the 147th race Kentucky Derby The posts are listed in order of status, with comments by Joe Drape and Melissa Hoppert of the New York Times. The early-morning odds were determined by Mike Battaglia of Churchill Downs.

King Fury was feverish on Friday. All the horses outside it will go to one place New 20-Horse Beginner Gate. The position of the position remains unchanged.

how to see: Coverage begins at 12:30 pm on Saturday, Eastern Time, on NBC Sports Network NBC Sports Live.

post time: 6:57 PM

Purse: $ 3 million guaranteed

Distance: 1¼ mi

track record: Secret (Secretariat, 1973)

weight: 126 pounds

Joe Drape’s win-the-spot show pics: Mandalaun, Essential Quality, Helium (Drape’s original choice to win was King Fury.)

Melissa Hoppert’s pics: Known Agenda, Essential Quality, Midnight Bourbon

Here’s how we see the area:

Trainer: Tod Fletcher Jockey: Irad Ortiz Junior. Odd: 6-1

Drape: The Florida Derby winner was a major contender until he attained the No. 1 position. He needs to deal with luck and expert to overcome it.

Hoprat: He has won two straight races by a combined 13¾ length after adding Blinker, and will have the No. 1 jockey in North America on his back. I’ll take my chances on an upset.

Trainer: Wesley Ward Jockey: Dryden van Dyke Odd: 50-1

Drape: This calf showed a late burst to catch Jeff Ruby’s steak. He is very deep here and has pulled a difficult post as well.

Hoprat: Ward, known for his success at Royal Ascot, has set his sights on incorporating the Derby victory in his résumé, but the top performances of this colt have come on the synthetic surface.

Trainer: Danny Velzequez Jockey: Umberto Respoli Odd: 50-1

Drape: The jailing was four out of three as a 2-year-old, but an illness delayed his training, and his 3-year-old finish fifth at the Wood Memorial.

Hoprat: This late addition to Fields may not be in top form, but he certainly has one of the best story lines: he was bought for only $ 5,000, and his instructor is recovering from a strange training accident .

Trainer: Roberto Deodoro Jockey: David cohen Odd: 50-1

Drape: He was beaten 16 lengths by an early-morning favorite at Blue Grass. next.

Hoprat: Another late, he has won only once in six career starts and is trailing unfortunately.

Trainer: Tod Fletcher Jockey: Corey Lanry Odd: 50-1

Drape: This will be only the fourth lifetime start for this talented colt. He finished second in Jeff Ruby after an adventure trip. Look for him to be a force in summer.

Hoprat: He is perhaps the least talented of Pelcher’s four derby starts. pass.

Trainer: Greg Foley Jockey: Marcelino Pedroza Odd: 20-1

Drape: This late runner acquitted himself in the tough Louisiana Prep race. He can hit the board.

Hoprat: A son of Derby winner Orb, he has sharpened the stats to improve during training and at this distance, sealing his reputation as a “wise” pick.

Trainer: Brad cox Jockey: Florent Géroux Odd: 15-1

Drape: If you can see a sixth-place clunker in the Louisiana Derby, this colt stacks up with favorites. He has worked as a light-out here in the morning.

Hoprat: He is certainly talented, but too much of a question mark. I will invest my money elsewhere.

Trainer: BoB Baffert Jockey: John velczak Odd: 15-1

Drape: The Santa Anita Derby runners-up finished first or second in all five starts and looked good in doing so.

Hoprat: Never count Buffert: He is tied for the most derby wins with six, and his most recent year came with Velzekze last year.

Trainer: Doug O’Neill Jockey: Flavin Q Odd: 8-1

Drape: The Louisiana Derby champion is not at all up for miles and one-quarter of the distance.

Hoprat: He finished second in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile for essential quality and had two impressive derby props. His versatile running style is good for this race.

Trainer: Steven Asmussen Jockey: Mike smith Odd: 20-1

Drape: It is a battle-tested foal that will stretch and be there at a decent price.

Hoprat: He has hit the board in all seven of his races, and has chosen a Hall of Fame rider. Also, this horse has spunked: he was talking backside when he was trying to avoid taking a shower.

Trainer: Tod Fletcher Jockey: Jose Ortiz Odd: 20-1

Drape: The runner-up in Wood has a singles win on résumé. He will not get his second here.

Hoprat: He is making progress, but he is over his head here.

Trainer: Mark cas Jockey: Julian Leproux Odd: 50-1

Drape: The Tampa Bay Derby winner is undefeated in three starts, and performs better every time he starts. Not much to go on, but $ 2 is worth flying.

Hoprat: Two of those wins came on the synthetic surface. I will succeed.

Trainer: Vicky Oliver Jockey: Rafael Bejarano Odd: 50-1

Drape: Another who finished fourth in Blue Grass, finishing fourth.

Hoprat: He has won on this track, but he is one step slower than the top contenders, and unfortunately we will have to wait a bit for a female trainer to win the derby.

Trainer: Brad cox Jockey: Louis saiz Odd: 2-1

Drape: The Blue Grass winner and 2-year-old champion is a worthy favorite after winning all five of his races. The only question is, how much did Blue Grass take from him?

Hoprat: He won his first race on Residential Derby Day in September and has not stopped since, working in a variety of styles, winning three racetracks on fast-paced and zigzagged surfaces. Definitely the one to beat.

Trainer: John saddler Jockey: Joel Rosario Odd: 5-1

Drape: He looked like a worldman who won the Santa Anita Derby for three for three. However, the first two were on grass, where it might be better.

Hoprat: This late Blomer went wire to wire at Santa Anita, and after running on the first turf, he is definitely not ready to mess with the 19-horse field. But Rosario is one of the hottest jockeys in the game, and if anyone can keep him in the post, he is the one.

Trainer: Ken macpeak Jockey: Brian Hernández Jr. Odd: 20-1

Drape: He went on to win as a 2-year-old here and had a stunning victory at the Lexington Stakes, his first film at the age of 3. He has trainers and jockeys. My pick

Hoprat: His Lexington steak score came on a wet track, and the weather is expected to be perfect in Louisville on Saturday. I do not see it.

Trainer: Brown brown Jockey: Javier Castellano Odd: 10-1

Drape: This colt gave the necessary quality that he could handle in the Blue Grass before a defeat. Does he have gas to turn the tables?

Hoprat: He has hit the board in all five starts and will try to get Brown to his first derby victory in six attempts. The added distance, however, may prove to be a factor.

Trainer: Asmussen Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr. Odd: 30-1

Drape: The Arkansas Derby winner took advantage of the speed duel in front of him. Here, there is a lot of traffic to navigate.

Hoprat: Asmussen’s father owns a stake, and his son rides him to his first victory, but the feel-good story ends there.

Trainer: How Jockey: Tyler Gaffalion Odd: 30-1

Drape: great name. Look for this Florida Derby runner-up to take the lead in the first turn. His only chance is a gate-to-wire score, and it will be difficult to do so.

Hoprat: Owned by the granddaughter of the founder of Campbell Soup, this fast but lightly populated colt is most likely in hot water here.

Trainer: Plaque Jockey: Kendrick Carmouche Odd: 30-1

Drape: This colt is a deep, deep close. He won the final-first burst to Wood on a 72–1 margin. He will try to make one again.

Hoprat: He has constantly improved with Blinker, and what a story it is if Carmouche, in his first start in the race, becomes The first black jockey to win the derby Since 1902.

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