Opinion: Iran chose a radical. let’s see what they do now

Iranian President-elect Ibrahim Raisi has a record of human rights abuses and seems poised to lead the country towards an increasingly belligerent foreign policy while instilling fear among its own population. Now, let’s look at how they can apply this before jumping to inductive conclusions or our own actions.

More than half of Iran 59 million voters After the Guardian Council boycotted the election, powerful clerics scrutinizing potential candidates disqualified almost all of Raisi’s competitors. His victory was seen as a foregone conclusion and the 48.8% voter turnout was the lowest since the Islamic Republic was established in 1979. Raisi, who is a confidant of Supreme Leader Grand Ayatollah Ali Khamenei with close ties to Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, won 17.9 million votes – less than 30% of eligible voters. one more solution A record 3.7 million ballots were left blank for voter dissatisfaction.
Raisi’s victory marks the first time Iran has elected a leader who is subject to sanctions by the United States. US Treasury Department Wide Raisi’s Cruelty In 2019, citing a UN report, which found that Iran’s judiciary approved the executions of at least nine children in 2018 and 2019. In his previous role as prosecutor, Raisi also “participated in the so-called ‘death commission’, which passed an additional judicial order. Thousands of political prisoners were executed in 1988,” the Treasury Department said.
It is unclear how the new Iranian president will cope with the convergence of crises. annual inflation rates are about 50% and Unemployment has been more than 10% in the last two decades. The Kovid-19 pandemic has also devastated Iran and official death toll The number of 82,000 is likely to be lower. Khamenei too refused to accept Any help from the United States at the start of the pandemic, describes America’s leaders as “charlatans and liars.” Meanwhile, the government has become powerless to stop thousands of doctors flee the country throughout the last year.
After his inauguration in August, Raisey will have to negotiate with the United States and persuade the Biden administration to lift the crushing sanctions on Iran if it hopes to stabilize and rebuild the fractured economy. But Raisi is also called a fisherman. Khamenei successful, Which means the president-elect will have to appease the supreme leader and more militant elements in the Iran Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), all while maintaining, at least, the peaceful consent of the Iranian people.
overwhelming, and not unreasonable, fear of the moment electoral slate It was announced last month that Raisi, who has been opposed to engaging with the West and previously called for economic self-reliance, would dig in his heels and try to stop negotiations on the ongoing Iran nuclear deal in Vienna or make substantial detours. will invoke. , Austria. These efforts focused on the revival of the deal known as JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action), a 2015 agreement banning Iran’s nuclear program, which former President Donald Trump withdrawn from in 2018.
In the days just before Friday’s presidential election, however, Raisey was attempting to dial back his more extreme positions. In the final debate broadcast nationally, he told That the nuclear deal was “an agreement and commitment that governments must abide by.” Still, he said, his support was based on nine “conditions” that Khamenei stated in 2015. Most hardliners have taken similar paths, forging a new nuclear deal. remove all restrictions who are strangling the Iranian economy. The Biden Administration Has Already Done raised penalty To advance talks as a goodwill gesture against three former Iranian government officials and two companies involved in its oil industry.
Negotiators in Vienna still have six more weeks to work with the current government in Tehran to reach an agreement before Raisi is sworn in. Still, it is likely that Raisey will be happy to claim the fruits of any such effort, especially if restrictions may be lifted and with the end of the economy begin to revive. debilitating restriction on Iranian oil.
Raisi has not submitted many other proposals. On regional conflicts, he is a security hawk who is unlikely to ease his support for Houthi rebels fighting behind Saudi Arabia’s proxies in the ongoing civil war in Yemen. The same goes for Iran’s support for the Shia militias that continue to operate in Iraq. both are high priorities For IRGC and Khamenei.
A new government in Israel now presents its own set of challenges, with two steadfast opponents taking on much of the issue dividing Iran and Israel. Israel’s new prime minister, Naftali Bennett, told the Knesset, “Resuming a nuclear deal with Iran is a mistake that would legitimize one of the world’s most violent regimes.”
This leaves a significant dilemma for President Joe Biden. How should they treat Iran’s new leader? The best answer is to stay the course. Don’t accept any real change in Iran’s direction unless one presents itself directly. Continue to hold the nation and its leaders accountable for gross violations of human rights. The demand as a price for future agreements and sanctions is not only a return to the nuclear deal but also the release of Americans from prison being held in Iran.
Also, Biden should take Raisey at his word when it comes to ratification of the nuclear deal and the US president should seek support from all signatories to the original treaty, including Russia and China, both of which have asked to build He has close ties with the Iranian regime.

Of course, Biden must prevent the new government in Israel from taking any unilateral action against Iran. Above all, the United States must show that if Iran is to be taken seriously and resume its role in the world, as many of its people clearly want, it must be treated as a foreign nation. I should stop working.


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